Seoul vs Gangwon: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Seoulvs
GangwonThe model puts Seoul at 40%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Seoul have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Gangwon have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Seoul have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Seoul is priced at 2.35.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Seoul at 40%. The model puts the draw at 31%. The model puts Gangwon at 29%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Seoul is priced at 2.35. The draw is priced at 3.02. Gangwon is priced at 3.21.
Seoul have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Gangwon have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Seoul have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Gangwon have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Seoul or Gangwon?
Our model rates Seoul as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Seoul vs Gangwon?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Seoul wins, 1 draws, 3 Gangwon wins.
Odds movement
League table
South Korea. K League 1| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seoul | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 28:12 | 35 |
| 2 |  Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 25:15 | 29 |
| 3 |  Pohang Steelers | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 18:14 | 28 |
| 4 |  Ulsan Hyundai | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 24:24 | 27 |
| 5 | Gangwon | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 21:11 | 27 |
| 6 |  Incheon United | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 21:18 | 21 |
| 7 |  Anyang | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 21:19 | 20 |
| 8 |  Jeju SK | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:17 | 19 |
| 9 |  Bucheon 1995 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 14:18 | 19 |
| 10 |  Daejeon Hana Citizen | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 19:18 | 17 |
| 11 |  Gimcheon Sangmu | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 12 |  Gwangju | 17 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 8:41 | 8 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.