Club Necaxa vs Atlante: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Club Necaxavs
AtlanteThe model puts Club Necaxa at 52%. The model leans toward Club Necaxa. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Club Necaxa.
- +The head-to-head record favours Club Necaxa (6-0-0).
- −Club Necaxa are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Atlante have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Club Necaxa have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Club Necaxa have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
- The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
Club Necaxa have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Atlante have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
Club Necaxa have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0. The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Club Necaxa is priced at 1.87. Atlante is priced at 3.85. The market leans toward Club Necaxa.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Club Necaxa or Atlante?
Our model rates Club Necaxa as the most likely outcome at 52% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Club Necaxa vs Atlante?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 6 Club Necaxa wins, 0 draws, 0 Atlante wins.
League table
Mexico. Liga MX| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Santos Laguna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Monterrey | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Cruz Azul | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Atlas Guadalajara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Atletico San Luis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 |  Guadalajara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Club Necaxa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Pachuca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Deportivo Toluca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Atlante | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Club America | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Puebla | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Tigres de la UANL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 |  Pumas UNAM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 |  Queretaro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 |  Tijuana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 |  Leon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 |  Juarez | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.