Tijuana vs Tigres de la UANL: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Tijuanavs
Tigres de la UANLThe model puts Tigres de la UANL at 46%. The model leans toward Tigres de la UANL. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Tijuana.
- +The head-to-head record favours Tigres de la UANL (2-0-4).
- −Tigres de la UANL are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Tijuana have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Tigres de la UANL have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Tijuana have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Tigres de la UANL will be without Angulo, Rodrigues O, Flores.
- Tigres de la UANL is priced at 1.97.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Tijuana at 29%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Tigres de la UANL at 46%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Tigres de la UANL. Tijuana is priced at 3.625. The draw is priced at 3.45. Tigres de la UANL is priced at 1.97.
Tijuana have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Tigres de la UANL have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
Tijuana have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Tigres de la UANL have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Tijuana or Tigres de la UANL?
Our model rates Tigres de la UANL as the most likely outcome at 46% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Tijuana vs Tigres de la UANL?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Tijuana wins, 0 draws, 4 Tigres de la UANL wins.
Match statistics
Tijuana
- 2Rodriguez Anto.
- 3Fernandez
- 6Gomez J.
- 8Tona
- 11Preciado Ad.
- 12Porozo Vernaza
- 17Arciga
- 19Mora Zambrano
- 22Rivero Ig.
- 31Abreu
- 33Ortiz Orozco
Tigres de la UANL
- 1Guzman N.
- 5Araújo
- 7Correa Áng.
- 8Gorriaran
- 11Brunetta
- 14Garza
- 17Aguirre R.
- 23Zwarg
- 28Pereira Silva J. H.
- 32Lorona V.
- 77Herrera
- Angulo (Missing Player)
- Rodrigues O (Missing Player)
- Flores (Missing Player)
League table
Mexico. Liga MX| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Santos Laguna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Monterrey | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Cruz Azul | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Atlas Guadalajara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Atletico San Luis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 |  Guadalajara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Club Necaxa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Pachuca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Deportivo Toluca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Atlante | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Club America | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Puebla | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | Tigres de la UANL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 |  Pumas UNAM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 |  Queretaro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Tijuana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 |  Leon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 |  Juarez | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.