Busan IPark vs GimPo: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Busan IParkvs
GimPoThe model puts Busan IPark at 36%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours GimPo (1-2-3).
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Busan IPark have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- GimPo have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Busan IPark have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Busan IPark is priced at 2.48.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Busan IPark at 36%. The model puts the draw at 29%. The model puts GimPo at 35%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Busan IPark is priced at 2.48. The draw is priced at 3.04. GimPo is priced at 2.64.
Busan IPark have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. GimPo have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Busan IPark have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. GimPo have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Busan IPark or GimPo?
Our model rates Busan IPark as the most likely outcome at 36% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Busan IPark vs GimPo?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Busan IPark wins, 2 draws, 3 GimPo wins.
Odds movement
League table
South Korea. K League 2| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Busan IPark | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 33:20 | 33 |
| 2 |  Suwon Samsung Bluewings | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 22:14 | 32 |
| 3 |  Daegu | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 35:22 | 31 |
| 4 |  Suwon | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 34:21 | 29 |
| 5 |  Seoul E-Land | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 28:19 | 29 |
| 6 |  Hwaseong | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23:19 | 25 |
| 7 | GimPo | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 19:16 | 24 |
| 8 |  Chungnam Asan | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 23:18 | 23 |
| 9 |  Cheonan City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19:19 | 19 |
| 10 |  Gyeongnam | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 19:24 | 19 |
| 11 |  Yongin City | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20:23 | 17 |
| 12 |  Paju Frontier | 16 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 17:22 | 17 |
| 13 |  Seongnam | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16:18 | 17 |
| 14 |  Chungbuk Cheongju | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 19:27 | 14 |
| 15 |  Ansan Greeners | 16 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 17:29 | 14 |
| 16 |  Jeonnam Dragons | 16 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 18:31 | 9 |
| 17 |  Gimhae City | 16 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 13:33 | 9 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.