Chungnam Asan vs Gyeongnam: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Chungnam Asanvs
GyeongnamThe model puts Chungnam Asan at 48%. The model leans toward Chungnam Asan. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Chungnam Asan.
- +The head-to-head record favours Chungnam Asan (5-1-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Chungnam Asan have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Gyeongnam have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Chungnam Asan have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Chungnam Asan is priced at 2.06.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Chungnam Asan at 48%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Gyeongnam at 26%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Chungnam Asan. Chungnam Asan is priced at 2.06. The draw is priced at 3.28. Gyeongnam is priced at 3.24.
Chungnam Asan have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Chungnam Asan have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Gyeongnam have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Chungnam Asan or Gyeongnam?
Our model rates Chungnam Asan as the most likely outcome at 48% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Chungnam Asan vs Gyeongnam?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 5 Chungnam Asan wins, 1 draws, 0 Gyeongnam wins.
League table
South Korea. K League 2| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Busan IPark | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 33:20 | 33 |
| 2 |  Suwon Samsung Bluewings | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 22:14 | 32 |
| 3 |  Daegu | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 35:22 | 31 |
| 4 |  Suwon | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 34:21 | 29 |
| 5 |  Seoul E-Land | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 28:19 | 29 |
| 6 |  Hwaseong | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23:19 | 25 |
| 7 |  GimPo | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 19:16 | 24 |
| 8 | Chungnam Asan | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 23:18 | 23 |
| 9 |  Cheonan City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19:19 | 19 |
| 10 | Gyeongnam | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 19:24 | 19 |
| 11 |  Yongin City | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20:23 | 17 |
| 12 |  Paju Frontier | 16 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 17:22 | 17 |
| 13 |  Seongnam | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16:18 | 17 |
| 14 |  Chungbuk Cheongju | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 19:27 | 14 |
| 15 |  Ansan Greeners | 16 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 17:29 | 14 |
| 16 |  Jeonnam Dragons | 16 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 18:31 | 9 |
| 17 |  Gimhae City | 16 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 13:33 | 9 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.