Orgryte vs Hacken: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Orgrytevs
HackenThe model puts Hacken at 57%. The model leans toward Hacken. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Orgryte.
- −The head-to-head record favours Orgryte (5-1-0).
- +Orgryte are dealing with notable absentees.
- −Hacken are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Orgryte have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hacken have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Orgryte have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Orgryte will be without Abukar, Alm R..
- Hacken will be without Berisha E., Vaisanen L..
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |
| 1 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Orgryte at 24%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Hacken at 57%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Hacken. Orgryte is priced at 5.46. The draw is priced at 4.5. Hacken is priced at 1.51.
Orgryte have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Orgryte have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Orgryte are on 2 wins in a row. Hacken have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Orgryte or Hacken?
Our model rates Hacken as the most likely outcome at 57% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Orgryte vs Hacken?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 5 Orgryte wins, 1 draws, 0 Hacken wins.
Match statistics
Orgryte
- 5Styffe
- 6Dyrestam M.
- 7Vindehall C.
- 11Christoffersson N.
- 14Paulson
- 17Hofvander
- 19Andreasson
- 22Sana T.
- 23Parker-Price
- 33Lagerlund
- 44Gustafsson
- Abukar (Missing Player)
- Alm R. (Missing Player)
Hacken
- 1Linde
- 5Wembangomo
- 6Doumbia
- 9Lindgren
- 10Rygaard M.
- 11Lindberg
- 13Hilvenius
- 16Dabo
- 20Svanback
- 21Lundqvist A.
- 22Helander
- Berisha E. (Missing Player)
- Vaisanen L. (Missing Player)
League table
Sweden. Allsvenskan| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sirius | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 31:14 | 29 |
| 2 |  Hammarby | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 26:14 | 20 |
| 3 | Hacken | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 20 |
| 4 |  Elfsborg | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17:13 | 18 |
| 5 |  Djurgardens | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 23:15 | 16 |
| 6 |  GAIS | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17:12 | 16 |
| 7 |  Mjallby | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:15 | 16 |
| 8 |  Malmo | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 21:20 | 16 |
| 9 |  Brommapojkarna | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:17 | 16 |
| 10 |  Vasteras SK | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 20:23 | 15 |
| 11 |  AIK | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14:17 | 15 |
| 12 |  Kalmar | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 14:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Degerfors | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12:17 | 10 |
| 14 |  Goteborg | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14:24 | 10 |
| 15 |  Halmstads | 11 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 10:23 | 6 |
| 16 | Orgryte | 11 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 10:28 | 6 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.