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Australia. NPL Northern NSW

Cooks Hill United vs Charlestown Azzurri: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Cooks Hill United Cooks Hill UnitedvsCharlestown Azzurri Charlestown Azzurri
Our predictionCooks Hill United to win
Model score: Low · 27/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Cooks Hill United at 46%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Cooks Hill UnitedDraw2 · Charlestown Azzurri
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo3.12+18.9%
1X2Charlestown Azzurri3.00+1.6%
1X2Cooks Hill United1.96-0.8%
1X2Draw3.86-0.8%
BTTSYes1.30-18.9%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Recent form

Cooks Hill UnitedDLWDL
Charlestown AzzurriLDDDW
Team strength rating
Cooks Hill United
52
Charlestown Azzurri
49

Most likely scorelines

1-112.1%
1-011.3%
2-19.4%
2-08.8%
0-17.8%
0-07.3%

Expected goals

1.55Cooks Hill United
xG
1.07Charlestown Azzurri
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score52%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Cooks Hill United Charlestown Azzurri

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Cooks Hill United win1.96Fair (-0.8%)
Double chanceCooks Hill United or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07841
1111262
29952
3553
4221
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Cooks Hill United at 46%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Charlestown Azzurri at 32%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Cooks Hill United. Cooks Hill United is priced at 1.96. The draw is priced at 3.86. Charlestown Azzurri is priced at 3.005.

Cooks Hill United have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Charlestown Azzurri have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.

Cooks Hill United have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Charlestown Azzurri have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Cooks Hill United or Charlestown Azzurri?

Our model rates Cooks Hill United as the most likely outcome at 46% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Cooks Hill United vs Charlestown Azzurri?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 6 meetings: 1 Cooks Hill United wins, 1 draws, 4 Charlestown Azzurri wins.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

Australia. NPL Northern NSW
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Broadmeadow Magic17112447:2137
2Belmont Swansea United1793540:3032
3Edgeworth Eagles1784534:2929
4Weston Workers Bears1685331:2727
5Maitland1685330:2727
6Cooks Hill United1766532:3123
7Lambton Jaffas1767433:2622
8Newcastle Olympic Warriors1747632:3018
9Adamstown Rosebud1748524:3317
10Valentine Phoenix1749415:3416
11Kahibah16410224:3814
12Charlestown Azzurri16410224:4014
Promotion - Australia. NPL Northern NSW (Play-off) Australia. NPL Northern NSW - (Relegation (Play-off)) Relegation

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.