Iþrottafelag Reykjavikur vs Knattspyrnufelagið Þrottur: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Iþrottafelag Reykjavikurvs
Knattspyrnufelagið ÞrotturThe model puts Knattspyrnufelagið Þrottur at 54%. The model leans toward Knattspyrnufelagið Þrottur. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Iþrottafelag Reykjavikur.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Iþrottafelag Reykjavikur have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Knattspyrnufelagið Þrottur have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Iþrottafelag Reykjavikur have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Knattspyrnufelagið Þrottur is priced at 1.686.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Iþrottafelag Reykjavikur at 23%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Knattspyrnufelagið Þrottur at 54%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Knattspyrnufelagið Þrottur. Iþrottafelag Reykjavikur is priced at 3.84. The draw is priced at 4.05. Knattspyrnufelagið Þrottur is priced at 1.686.
Iþrottafelag Reykjavikur have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Knattspyrnufelagið Þrottur have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
Iþrottafelag Reykjavikur have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Knattspyrnufelagið Þrottur have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Iþrottafelag Reykjavikur or Knattspyrnufelagið Þrottur?
Our model rates Knattspyrnufelagið Þrottur as the most likely outcome at 54% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Iþrottafelag Reykjavikur vs Knattspyrnufelagið Þrottur?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Iþrottafelag Reykjavikur wins, 0 draws, 3 Knattspyrnufelagið Þrottur wins.
League table
Iceland. 1. Deild| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ungmennafelagid Afturelding | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 34:18 | 25 |
| 2 |  Fylkir | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 23:17 | 24 |
| 3 | Knattspyrnufelagið Þrottur | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 25:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Vestri | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:20 | 21 |
| 5 |  Leiknir Reykjavík | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 6 |  HK Kopavogur | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 21:20 | 19 |
| 7 |  Ungmennafelag Njardvikur | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 8 |  Grotta | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 21:25 | 16 |
| 9 | Iþrottafelag Reykjavikur | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 23:30 | 11 |
| 10 |  Grindavik | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:12 | 10 |
| 11 |  Iþrottafelagið Volsungur | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 16:27 | 8 |
| 12 |  KF Aegir Thorlakshofn | 13 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 15:32 | 8 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.