ML Vitebsk vs CS Universitatea Craiova: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
ML Vitebskvs
CS Universitatea CraiovaThe model puts CS Universitatea Craiova at 44%. The model leans toward CS Universitatea Craiova. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- ML Vitebsk have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- CS Universitatea Craiova is priced at 2.12.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 3 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts ML Vitebsk at 28%. The model puts the draw at 29%. The model puts CS Universitatea Craiova at 44%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward CS Universitatea Craiova. ML Vitebsk is priced at 3.48. The draw is priced at 3.24. CS Universitatea Craiova is priced at 2.12.
ML Vitebsk have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. ML Vitebsk are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, ML Vitebsk or CS Universitatea Craiova?
Our model rates CS Universitatea Craiova as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for ML Vitebsk vs CS Universitatea Craiova?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward a balanced game.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.