Ulytau vs Kaysar: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Ulytauvs
KaysarThe model puts Ulytau at 43%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Ulytau.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Ulytau have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Kaysar have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Ulytau is priced at 2.347.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Ulytau at 43%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Kaysar at 30%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Ulytau is priced at 2.347. The draw is priced at 3.315. Kaysar is priced at 2.973.
The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Ulytau have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Kaysar have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Ulytau or Kaysar?
Our model rates Ulytau as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Ulytau vs Kaysar?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 0 Ulytau wins, 3 draws, 0 Kaysar wins.
Odds movement
League table
Kazakhstan. Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ordabasy | 16 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 28:9 | 40 |
| 2 |  Kairat | 18 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 34:12 | 39 |
| 3 |  Okzhetpes | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 21:21 | 27 |
| 4 |  Elimai | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24:19 | 26 |
| 5 |  Astana | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 6 |  Aktobe | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 | Ulytau | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 13:15 | 23 |
| 8 |  Atyrau | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 12:13 | 18 |
| 9 |  Zhetysu | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21:24 | 18 |
| 10 |  Jenis | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13:19 | 18 |
| 11 | Kaysar | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13:19 | 18 |
| 12 |  Kyzylzhar | 17 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 17:25 | 15 |
| 13 |  Tobol Kostanay | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 16:24 | 15 |
| 14 |  Caspiy Aktau | 16 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 15 |  Altay Ust-Kamenogorsk | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 11:18 | 13 |
| 16 |  Irtysh Pavlodar | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14:21 | 11 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.