Zhetysu vs Altay Ust-Kamenogorsk: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Zhetysuvs
Altay Ust-KamenogorskThe model puts Zhetysu at 44%. The model leans toward Zhetysu. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Zhetysu have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Altay Ust-Kamenogorsk have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Zhetysu is priced at 2.158.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Zhetysu at 44%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Altay Ust-Kamenogorsk at 28%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Zhetysu. Zhetysu is priced at 2.158. The draw is priced at 3.28. Altay Ust-Kamenogorsk is priced at 3.375.
The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Zhetysu have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Altay Ust-Kamenogorsk have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Zhetysu or Altay Ust-Kamenogorsk?
Our model rates Zhetysu as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Zhetysu vs Altay Ust-Kamenogorsk?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Zhetysu wins, 1 draws, 0 Altay Ust-Kamenogorsk wins.
Odds movement
League table
Kazakhstan. Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ordabasy | 16 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 28:9 | 40 |
| 2 |  Kairat | 18 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 34:12 | 39 |
| 3 |  Okzhetpes | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 21:21 | 27 |
| 4 |  Elimai | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24:19 | 26 |
| 5 |  Astana | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 6 |  Aktobe | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 |  Ulytau | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 13:15 | 23 |
| 8 |  Atyrau | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 12:13 | 18 |
| 9 | Zhetysu | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21:24 | 18 |
| 10 |  Jenis | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13:19 | 18 |
| 11 |  Kaysar | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13:19 | 18 |
| 12 |  Kyzylzhar | 17 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 17:25 | 15 |
| 13 |  Tobol Kostanay | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 16:24 | 15 |
| 14 |  Caspiy Aktau | 16 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 15 | Altay Ust-Kamenogorsk | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 11:18 | 13 |
| 16 |  Irtysh Pavlodar | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14:21 | 11 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.