Flora Tallinn vs Iberia 1999: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Flora Tallinnvs
Iberia 1999The model puts Iberia 1999 at 37%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Flora Tallinn.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Flora Tallinn have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Iberia 1999 have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Iberia 1999 is priced at 2.375.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Flora Tallinn at 37%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Iberia 1999 at 37%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-2.
The market frames this as a close contest. Flora Tallinn is priced at 2.72. The draw is priced at 3.52. Iberia 1999 is priced at 2.375.
Flora Tallinn have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Flora Tallinn are on 2 wins in a row. Iberia 1999 have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 62% for both teams to score. The model gives 60% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Flora Tallinn or Iberia 1999?
Our model rates Iberia 1999 as the most likely outcome at 37% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Flora Tallinn vs Iberia 1999?
A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.