Fenerbahce vs Gornik Zabrze: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Fenerbahcevs
Gornik ZabrzeThe model puts Fenerbahce at 74%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Fenerbahce is priced at 1.27.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 1 | 15 | 7 | 1 | |||
| 2 | 17 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 13 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Fenerbahce at 74%. The model puts the draw at 18%. The model puts Gornik Zabrze at 8%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Fenerbahce. Fenerbahce is priced at 1.27. The draw is priced at 5.2. Gornik Zabrze is priced at 11.
The model gives 31% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Fenerbahce or Gornik Zabrze?
Our model rates Fenerbahce as the most likely outcome at 74% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Fenerbahce vs Gornik Zabrze?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.