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Australia. NPL Northern NSW

Kahibah vs Maitland: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Kahibah KahibahvsMaitland Maitland
Our predictionMaitland to win
Model score: Low · 18/100
Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Maitland at 45%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.

Win probabilities

1 · KahibahDraw2 · Maitland
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo3.12+18.3%
1X2Kahibah2.86+0.6%
1X2Draw4.00-0.2%
1X2Maitland1.99-0.4%
BTTSYes1.30-18.3%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Most likely scorelines

1-112.5%
0-110.5%
1-09.0%
1-28.7%
0-07.6%
2-17.4%
Team strength rating
Kahibah
41
Maitland
51

Recent form

KahibahLLLWW
MaitlandLWLDL

Expected goals

1.19Kahibah
xG
1.39Maitland
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score52%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Kahibah Maitland

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Maitland win1.99Fair
Double chanceMaitland or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0811731
1913941
25752
3232
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Kahibah at 32%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Maitland at 45%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market leans toward Maitland. Kahibah is priced at 2.862. The draw is priced at 4. Maitland is priced at 1.99.

Maitland have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.

Kahibah have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Maitland have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Kahibah or Maitland?

Our model rates Maitland as the most likely outcome at 45% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Kahibah vs Maitland?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meetings: 0 Kahibah wins, 0 draws, 1 Maitland wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

4.153.593.042.481.93
Home 2.86 Draw 4.00 Away 1.99

League table

Australia. NPL Northern NSW
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Broadmeadow Magic17112447:2137
2Belmont Swansea United1793540:3032
3Edgeworth Eagles1784534:2929
4Weston Workers Bears1685331:2727
5Maitland1685330:2727
6Cooks Hill United1766532:3123
7Lambton Jaffas1767433:2622
8Newcastle Olympic Warriors1747632:3018
9Adamstown Rosebud1748524:3317
10Valentine Phoenix1749415:3416
11Kahibah16410224:3814
12Charlestown Azzurri16410224:4014
Promotion - Australia. NPL Northern NSW (Play-off) Australia. NPL Northern NSW - (Relegation (Play-off)) Relegation

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.