Sport Club do Recife vs Botafogo Ribeirao Preto: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Sport Club do Recifevs
Botafogo Ribeirao PretoThe model puts Sport Club do Recife at 49%. The model leans toward Sport Club do Recife. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Botafogo Ribeirao Preto.
- +The head-to-head record favours Sport Club do Recife (4-2-0).
- +Botafogo Ribeirao Preto are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Sport Club do Recife have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Botafogo Ribeirao Preto have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sport Club do Recife have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Sport Club do Recife will be without Ze Lucas.
- Botafogo Ribeirao Preto will be without Da Silva Santos A.V., Inocencio G., Marco Antonio, Darlan, Lemos Jo..
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Sport Club do Recife at 49%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Botafogo Ribeirao Preto at 24%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Sport Club do Recife. Sport Club do Recife is priced at 1.92. The draw is priced at 3.22. Botafogo Ribeirao Preto is priced at 4.15.
Sport Club do Recife have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Sport Club do Recife have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Botafogo Ribeirao Preto have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Sport Club do Recife or Botafogo Ribeirao Preto?
Our model rates Sport Club do Recife as the most likely outcome at 49% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Sport Club do Recife vs Botafogo Ribeirao Preto?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 4 Sport Club do Recife wins, 2 draws, 0 Botafogo Ribeirao Preto wins.
Match statistics
Sport Club do Recife
- 4Marcos J.
- 5Conceicao M.
- 6Fonseca
- 7Rocha Y.
- 9Pedro Henrique Perotti
- 13Santos Ma.
- 26Couto
- 30Barletta
- 47Fabio Matheus
- 60Felipinho
- 95Castilho I.
- Ze Lucas (Missing Player)
Botafogo Ribeirao Preto
- 1Bernardes V.
- 4Vilar
- 6Brey
- 7dos Santos
- 8Morelli
- 9Garcia Silva
- 10Gava R.
- 13Wallace F.
- 16Sales M.
- 30dos Santos
- 31Henrique
- Da Silva Santos A.V. (Missing Player)
- Inocencio G. (Questionable)
- Marco Antonio (Missing Player)
- Darlan (Missing Player)
- Lemos Jo. (Missing Player)
League table
Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro. Serie B| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Criciuma | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 20:12 | 33 |
| 2 |  Vila Nova | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 25:18 | 31 |
| 3 |  Novorizontino | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 27:14 | 30 |
| 4 |  Fortaleza EC | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 28 |
| 5 |  Operario Ferroviario | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:17 | 28 |
| 6 |  Esporte Clube Juventude | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 16:8 | 26 |
| 7 |  Sao Bernardo | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 21:14 | 25 |
| 8 | Sport Club do Recife | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 18:12 | 25 |
| 9 |  Goias Esporte Clube | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 16:21 | 24 |
| 10 |  Cuiaba | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 12:9 | 23 |
| 11 |  Athletic Club MG | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16:16 | 22 |
| 12 |  Clube Nautico Capibaribe | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 21:19 | 21 |
| 13 |  Atletico Clube Goianiense | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18:19 | 21 |
| 14 | Botafogo Ribeirao Preto | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 15 |  CRB Maceio | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 24:29 | 19 |
| 16 |  Londrina | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 24:24 | 18 |
| 17 |  Ceara | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 15:20 | 17 |
| 18 |  Avai | 16 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 16:24 | 13 |
| 19 |  Associacao Atletica Ponte Preta | 17 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 11:33 | 8 |
| 20 |  America Minas Gerais | 16 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 10:27 | 6 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.