Zaglebie Lubin vs Banik Ostrava: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Zaglebie Lubinvs
Banik OstravaThe model puts Zaglebie Lubin at 43%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Banik Ostrava.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Zaglebie Lubin have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Banik Ostrava have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Zaglebie Lubin have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Zaglebie Lubin is priced at 2.34.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Zaglebie Lubin at 43%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Banik Ostrava at 30%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Zaglebie Lubin is priced at 2.34. The draw is priced at 3.25. Banik Ostrava is priced at 3.01.
Zaglebie Lubin have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Zaglebie Lubin have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Zaglebie Lubin are on 3 wins in a row. Banik Ostrava have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Zaglebie Lubin or Banik Ostrava?
Our model rates Zaglebie Lubin as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Zaglebie Lubin vs Banik Ostrava?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Zaglebie Lubin wins, 0 draws, 0 Banik Ostrava wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.