Hangzhou Linping Wuyue vs Jiangxi Lushan: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Hangzhou Linping Wuyuevs
Jiangxi LushanThe model puts Jiangxi Lushan at 42%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Jiangxi Lushan (0-2-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Hangzhou Linping Wuyue have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Jiangxi Lushan have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Jiangxi Lushan is priced at 2.16.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Hangzhou Linping Wuyue at 24%. The model puts the draw at 33%. The model puts Jiangxi Lushan at 42%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Hangzhou Linping Wuyue is priced at 3.775. The draw is priced at 2.68. Jiangxi Lushan is priced at 2.16.
Jiangxi Lushan have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Hangzhou Linping Wuyue have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Jiangxi Lushan have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Hangzhou Linping Wuyue or Jiangxi Lushan?
Our model rates Jiangxi Lushan as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Hangzhou Linping Wuyue vs Jiangxi Lushan?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 0 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue wins, 2 draws, 1 Jiangxi Lushan wins.
League table
China. Second League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Shanghai Port II | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 27:10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Shandong Taishan II | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 22:13 | 29 |
| 3 |  Dalian Kewei | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 12:5 | 25 |
| 4 |  Taian Tiankuang | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16:14 | 22 |
| 5 |  Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 18:14 | 21 |
| 6 |  Dalian Yingbo II | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 14:12 | 21 |
| 7 |  Qingdao Red Lions | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14:14 | 17 |
| 8 |  Haimen Codion | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 16:16 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 5:10 | 14 |
| 10 |  Changchun Xidu | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 8:18 | 14 |
| 11 |  Shanghai Segenda | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 14:27 | 11 |
| 12 |  Beijing Institute of Technology | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 11:24 | 9 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.