Servette vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Servettevs
Stade Lausanne-OuchyThe model puts Servette at 58%. The model leans toward Servette. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Stade Lausanne-Ouchy.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Servette have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Stade Lausanne-Ouchy have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Servette have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Servette is priced at 1.56.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Servette at 58%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Stade Lausanne-Ouchy at 22%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Servette. Servette is priced at 1.56. The draw is priced at 4.65. Stade Lausanne-Ouchy is priced at 4.72.
Servette have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Stade Lausanne-Ouchy have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Servette have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Stade Lausanne-Ouchy have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 46% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Servette or Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
Our model rates Servette as the most likely outcome at 58% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Servette vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Servette wins, 1 draws, 3 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.