Gold Coast United vs Brisbane Olympic: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Gold Coast Unitedvs
Brisbane OlympicThe model puts Brisbane Olympic at 52%. The model leans toward Brisbane Olympic. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Brisbane Olympic.
- −The head-to-head record favours Gold Coast United (3-3-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Gold Coast United have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Brisbane Olympic have 5 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Gold Coast United have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Brisbane Olympic is priced at 1.76.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Gold Coast United at 26%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Brisbane Olympic at 52%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Brisbane Olympic. Gold Coast United is priced at 3.665. The draw is priced at 3.84. Brisbane Olympic is priced at 1.76.
Gold Coast United have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Gold Coast United have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Brisbane Olympic have 5 wins in their last 5 matches. Brisbane Olympic are on 5 wins in a row.
The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Gold Coast United or Brisbane Olympic?
Our model rates Brisbane Olympic as the most likely outcome at 52% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Gold Coast United vs Brisbane Olympic?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Gold Coast United wins, 3 draws, 0 Brisbane Olympic wins.
League table
Australia. NPL Queensland| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Peninsula Power | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 43:20 | 42 |
| 2 |  Queensland Lions | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 48:20 | 38 |
| 3 |  Moreton City Excelsior | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 47:28 | 35 |
| 4 |  Gold Coast Knights | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 40:25 | 32 |
| 5 |  Eastern Suburbs | 17 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 32:26 | 28 |
| 6 |  Brisbane City | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 38:39 | 26 |
| 7 |  Wynnum Wolves | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 29:34 | 26 |
| 8 | Brisbane Olympic | 17 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 31:35 | 20 |
| 9 |  Rochedale Rovers | 18 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 27:45 | 15 |
| 10 |  Brisbane Roar II | 18 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 26:43 | 13 |
| 11 |  Magic United TFA | 18 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 24:54 | 13 |
| 12 | Gold Coast United | 16 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 19:35 | 10 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.