Sydney Olympic vs Wollongong Wolves: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Sydney Olympicvs
Wollongong WolvesThe model puts Wollongong Wolves at 39%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Wollongong Wolves (1-2-3).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Sydney Olympic have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Wollongong Wolves have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sydney Olympic have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Wollongong Wolves is priced at 2.38.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Sydney Olympic at 36%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Wollongong Wolves at 39%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Sydney Olympic is priced at 2.5. The draw is priced at 3.42. Wollongong Wolves is priced at 2.38.
Sydney Olympic have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Wollongong Wolves have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Sydney Olympic have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Wollongong Wolves have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Sydney Olympic or Wollongong Wolves?
Our model rates Wollongong Wolves as the most likely outcome at 39% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Sydney Olympic vs Wollongong Wolves?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Sydney Olympic wins, 2 draws, 3 Wollongong Wolves wins.
Odds movement
League table
Australia. New South Wales Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Marconi Stallions | 22 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 42:14 | 52 |
| 2 |  APIA Leichhardt | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 45:26 | 48 |
| 3 |  Sydney United | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 33:17 | 45 |
| 4 |  Rockdale Ilinden | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 36:31 | 36 |
| 5 |  Sutherland Sharks | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 35:28 | 35 |
| 6 |  Sydney U21 | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 31:32 | 34 |
| 7 | Wollongong Wolves | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 24:26 | 32 |
| 8 |  Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 42:31 | 29 |
| 9 |  NWS Spirit | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 24:26 | 28 |
| 10 |  Manly United | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 23:28 | 27 |
| 11 |  SD Raiders | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 29:36 | 26 |
| 12 |  UNSW | 22 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 30:35 | 25 |
| 13 |  Saint George City | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 22:35 | 25 |
| 14 |  Blacktown City | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 27:38 | 19 |
| 15 |  St. George Saints | 22 | 6 | 15 | 1 | 21:36 | 19 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 22 | 4 | 15 | 3 | 22:47 | 15 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.