Clarence Zebras vs Launceston City: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Clarence Zebrasvs
Launceston CityThe model puts Launceston City at 48%. The model leans toward Launceston City. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Clarence Zebras (4-2-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Clarence Zebras have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Launceston City have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Clarence Zebras have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Launceston City is priced at 1.84.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Clarence Zebras at 32%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Launceston City at 48%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Launceston City. Clarence Zebras is priced at 3.05. The draw is priced at 4.33. Launceston City is priced at 1.84.
Clarence Zebras have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Clarence Zebras have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Launceston City have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Clarence Zebras or Launceston City?
Our model rates Launceston City as the most likely outcome at 48% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Clarence Zebras vs Launceston City?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 4 Clarence Zebras wins, 2 draws, 0 Launceston City wins.
League table
Australia. NPL Tasmania| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  South Hobart | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 52:12 | 35 |
| 2 |  Kingborough Lions United | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 43:14 | 34 |
| 3 |  Devonport City Strikers | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 39:15 | 31 |
| 4 | Launceston City | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 32:21 | 24 |
| 5 |  Riverside Olympic | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 26:21 | 23 |
| 6 | Clarence Zebras | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 23:22 | 21 |
| 7 |  South East United | 14 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 15:44 | 12 |
| 8 |  Glenorchy Knights | 15 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 18:30 | 11 |
| 9 |  Launceston United | 13 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 13:43 | 5 |
| 10 |  Ulverstone | 14 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 12:51 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.