Supra du Quebec vs Atletico Ottawa: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Supra du Quebecvs
Atletico OttawaThe model puts Atletico Ottawa at 37%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Supra du Quebec have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Atletico Ottawa have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Supra du Quebec have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Atletico Ottawa is priced at 2.39.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Supra du Quebec at 36%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Atletico Ottawa at 37%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Supra du Quebec is priced at 2.51. The draw is priced at 3.38. Atletico Ottawa is priced at 2.39.
Supra du Quebec have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
Supra du Quebec have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Supra du Quebec are on 2 wins in a row. Atletico Ottawa have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Atletico Ottawa are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Supra du Quebec or Atletico Ottawa?
Our model rates Atletico Ottawa as the most likely outcome at 37% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Supra du Quebec vs Atletico Ottawa?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 2 Supra du Quebec wins, 0 draws, 0 Atletico Ottawa wins.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.