Vancouver Whitecaps vs Cavalry: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Vancouver Whitecapsvs
CavalryThe model puts Vancouver Whitecaps at 63%. The model leans toward Vancouver Whitecaps. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Cavalry.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Vancouver Whitecaps have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Cavalry have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Vancouver Whitecaps have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Vancouver Whitecaps is priced at 1.39.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Vancouver Whitecaps at 63%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Cavalry at 16%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Vancouver Whitecaps. Vancouver Whitecaps is priced at 1.39. The draw is priced at 4.3. Cavalry is priced at 6.67.
Vancouver Whitecaps have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Cavalry have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Vancouver Whitecaps have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Cavalry have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Cavalry are on 3 wins in a row.
The model gives 42% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Vancouver Whitecaps or Cavalry?
Our model rates Vancouver Whitecaps as the most likely outcome at 63% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Vancouver Whitecaps vs Cavalry?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 5 meetings: 2 Vancouver Whitecaps wins, 1 draws, 2 Cavalry wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.