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Hartberg vs Zbrojovka: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Hartberg HartbergvsZbrojovka Zbrojovka
Our predictionHartberg to win
Model score: Low · 22/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Hartberg at 38%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: low.

Win probabilities

1 · HartbergDraw2 · Zbrojovka
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.50+10.2%
1X2Hartberg2.52+0.6%
1X2Draw3.68-0.2%
1X2Zbrojovka2.48-0.3%
BTTSYes1.47-10.2%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Most likely scorelines

1-112.5%
1-010.2%
0-19.1%
2-18.6%
1-27.7%
0-07.4%
Team strength rating
Hartberg
53
Zbrojovka
53

Expected goals

1.37Hartberg
xG
1.23Zbrojovka
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score53%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Hartberg Zbrojovka

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Hartberg win2.52Fair (+0.6%)
Double chanceHartberg or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07962
1101383
27952
3342
411
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Hartberg at 38%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Zbrojovka at 37%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market frames this as a close contest. Hartberg is priced at 2.52. The draw is priced at 3.68. Zbrojovka is priced at 2.48.

The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Hartberg or Zbrojovka?

Our model rates Hartberg as the most likely outcome at 38% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Hartberg vs Zbrojovka?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.