Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Zawisza Bydgoszczvs
Polonia Sroda WielkopolskaThe model puts Zawisza Bydgoszcz at 52%. The model leans toward Zawisza Bydgoszcz. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Zawisza Bydgoszcz have 5 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Zawisza Bydgoszcz have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Zawisza Bydgoszcz is priced at 1.747.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Zawisza Bydgoszcz at 52%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska at 24%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Zawisza Bydgoszcz. Zawisza Bydgoszcz is priced at 1.747. The draw is priced at 3.78. Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska is priced at 3.785.
Zawisza Bydgoszcz have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
Zawisza Bydgoszcz have 5 wins in their last 5 matches. Zawisza Bydgoszcz are on 5 wins in a row. Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska are on 3 wins in a row.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Zawisza Bydgoszcz or Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska?
Our model rates Zawisza Bydgoszcz as the most likely outcome at 52% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Zawisza Bydgoszcz wins, 0 draws, 3 Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.