Vasas vs Kisvarda: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Vasasvs
KisvardaThe model puts Vasas at 43%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Vasas.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Vasas have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Kisvarda have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Vasas have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Vasas is priced at 2.22.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Vasas at 43%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Kisvarda at 31%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Vasas is priced at 2.22. The draw is priced at 3.6. Kisvarda is priced at 2.783.
Vasas have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Kisvarda have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Vasas have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Kisvarda have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 64% for both teams to score. The model gives 64% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Vasas or Kisvarda?
Our model rates Vasas as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Vasas vs Kisvarda?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Vasas wins, 3 draws, 1 Kisvarda wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.