Eltersdorf vs Greuther Furth: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Eltersdorfvs
Greuther FurthThe model puts Greuther Furth at 78%. The model leans toward Greuther Furth. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Eltersdorf.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Eltersdorf have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Greuther Furth have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Greuther Furth is priced at 1.141.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 6 | 3 |
| 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Eltersdorf at 10%. The model puts the draw at 12%. The model puts Greuther Furth at 78%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.
The market leans toward Greuther Furth. Eltersdorf is priced at 18. The draw is priced at 7.1. Greuther Furth is priced at 1.141.
Greuther Furth have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Eltersdorf have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Greuther Furth have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 31% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Eltersdorf or Greuther Furth?
Our model rates Greuther Furth as the most likely outcome at 78% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Eltersdorf vs Greuther Furth?
A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Eltersdorf wins, 0 draws, 1 Greuther Furth wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.