St. Tonis 1911-20 vs Fortuna Dusseldorf: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
St. Tonis 1911-20vs
Fortuna DusseldorfThe model puts Fortuna Dusseldorf at 86%. The model leans toward Fortuna Dusseldorf. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours St. Tonis 1911-20.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- St. Tonis 1911-20 have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Fortuna Dusseldorf have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- St. Tonis 1911-20 have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Fortuna Dusseldorf is priced at 1.045.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 15 | 11 | 6 |
| 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts St. Tonis 1911-20 at 7%. The model puts the draw at 8%. The model puts Fortuna Dusseldorf at 86%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.
The market leans toward Fortuna Dusseldorf. St. Tonis 1911-20 is priced at 33. The draw is priced at 11.7. Fortuna Dusseldorf is priced at 1.045.
St. Tonis 1911-20 have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
St. Tonis 1911-20 have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Fortuna Dusseldorf have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 29% for both teams to score. The model gives 61% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, St. Tonis 1911-20 or Fortuna Dusseldorf?
Our model rates Fortuna Dusseldorf as the most likely outcome at 86% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for St. Tonis 1911-20 vs Fortuna Dusseldorf?
A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 St. Tonis 1911-20 wins, 0 draws, 0 Fortuna Dusseldorf wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.