Kornburg vs Nurnberg: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Kornburgvs
NurnbergThe model puts Nurnberg at 89%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Nurnberg is priced at 1.058.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 17 | 12 | 7 |
| 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| 2 | ||||||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Kornburg at 4%. The model puts the draw at 7%. The model puts Nurnberg at 89%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.
The market leans toward Nurnberg. Kornburg is priced at 31. The draw is priced at 13.1. Nurnberg is priced at 1.058.
The model gives 22% for both teams to score. The model gives 61% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Kornburg or Nurnberg?
Our model rates Nurnberg as the most likely outcome at 89% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Kornburg vs Nurnberg?
A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.