Go Ahead Eagles vs Almere City: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Go Ahead Eaglesvs
Almere CityThe model puts Go Ahead Eagles at 56%. The model leans toward Go Ahead Eagles. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Almere City.
- −The head-to-head record favours Almere City (0-3-3).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Go Ahead Eagles have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Almere City have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Go Ahead Eagles is priced at 1.6.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Go Ahead Eagles at 56%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Almere City at 25%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Go Ahead Eagles. Go Ahead Eagles is priced at 1.6. The draw is priced at 4.55. Almere City is priced at 4.485.
Almere City have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Go Ahead Eagles have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Almere City have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Go Ahead Eagles or Almere City?
Our model rates Go Ahead Eagles as the most likely outcome at 56% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Go Ahead Eagles vs Almere City?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 0 Go Ahead Eagles wins, 3 draws, 3 Almere City wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.