Transinvest vs Banga Gargzdai: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Transinvestvs
Banga GargzdaiThe model puts Transinvest at 46%. The model leans toward Transinvest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Banga Gargzdai.
- +The head-to-head record favours Transinvest (3-2-1).
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Transinvest have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Banga Gargzdai have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Transinvest have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Transinvest is priced at 1.95.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Transinvest at 46%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Banga Gargzdai at 27%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Transinvest. Transinvest is priced at 1.95. The draw is priced at 3.22. Banga Gargzdai is priced at 3.595.
Transinvest have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Banga Gargzdai have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Transinvest have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Banga Gargzdai have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Transinvest or Banga Gargzdai?
Our model rates Transinvest as the most likely outcome at 46% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Transinvest vs Banga Gargzdai?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Transinvest wins, 2 draws, 1 Banga Gargzdai wins.
League table
Lithuania. A Liga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zalgiris Kaunas | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 34:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Suduva Marijampole | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21:16 | 30 |
| 3 |  Dziugas Telsiai | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 28:22 | 30 |
| 4 | Transinvest | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27:22 | 29 |
| 5 |  VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:21 | 28 |
| 6 | Banga Gargzdai | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 19:13 | 27 |
| 7 |  Hegelmann Litauen | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20:29 | 19 |
| 8 |  Panevezys | 20 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 18:37 | 19 |
| 9 |  Siauliai | 19 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 18:37 | 13 |
| 10 |  Riteriai | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.