Palestino (Women) vs Deportes Recoleta (Women): Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Palestino (Women)vs
Deportes Recoleta (Women)The model puts Palestino (Women) at 83%. The model leans toward Palestino (Women). Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Palestino (Women).
- −The head-to-head record favours Deportes Recoleta (Women) (0-1-2).
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Palestino (Women) have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Deportes Recoleta (Women) have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Palestino (Women) is priced at 1.082.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 2 | ||||
| 1 | 16 | 5 | ||||
| 2 | 19 | 6 | ||||
| 3 | 15 | 5 | ||||
| 4 | 9 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 4 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Palestino (Women) at 83%. The model puts the draw at 10%. The model puts Deportes Recoleta (Women) at 7%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Palestino (Women). Palestino (Women) is priced at 1.082. The draw is priced at 8.1. Deportes Recoleta (Women) is priced at 15.
Deportes Recoleta (Women) have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Palestino (Women) have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Palestino (Women) are on 3 wins in a row. Deportes Recoleta (Women) have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 24% for both teams to score. The model gives 51% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Palestino (Women) or Deportes Recoleta (Women)?
Our model rates Palestino (Women) as the most likely outcome at 83% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Palestino (Women) vs Deportes Recoleta (Women)?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 0 Palestino (Women) wins, 1 draws, 2 Deportes Recoleta (Women) wins.
League table
Chile Championship. Women| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Colo-Colo (Women) | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 58:2 | 40 |
| 2 |  Universidad de Chile (Women) | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 39:10 | 35 |
| 3 |  Universidad Catolica (Women) | 14 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 29:8 | 33 |
| 4 |  Coquimbo Unido (Women) | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20:5 | 28 |
| 5 |  Union Espanola (Women) | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 17:12 | 24 |
| 6 | Palestino (Women) | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21:17 | 19 |
| 7 |  Huachipato (Women) | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 14:24 | 18 |
| 8 |  Deportes Iquique (Women) | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 16:22 | 14 |
| 9 |  Santiago Wanderers (Women) | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 11:22 | 12 |
| 10 |  Universidad de Concepcion (Women) | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 10:26 | 12 |
| 11 |  Deportes Magallanes (Women) | 14 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 9:27 | 11 |
| 12 |  Deportes Temuco (Women) | 14 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 11:42 | 7 |
| 13 | Deportes Recoleta (Women) | 14 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 13:51 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.