Deportes Iquique (Women) vs Union Espanola (Women): Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Union Espanola (Women) at 45%. The model leans toward Union Espanola (Women). Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Union Espanola (Women).
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Deportes Iquique (Women) have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Union Espanola (Women) have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Deportes Iquique (Women) have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Union Espanola (Women) is priced at 2.08.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Deportes Iquique (Women) at 27%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Union Espanola (Women) at 45%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Union Espanola (Women). Deportes Iquique (Women) is priced at 3.245. The draw is priced at 3.2. Union Espanola (Women) is priced at 2.08.
Deportes Iquique (Women) have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Union Espanola (Women) have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Deportes Iquique (Women) have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Union Espanola (Women) have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Union Espanola (Women) are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Deportes Iquique (Women) or Union Espanola (Women)?
Our model rates Union Espanola (Women) as the most likely outcome at 45% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Deportes Iquique (Women) vs Union Espanola (Women)?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Deportes Iquique (Women) wins, 1 draws, 2 Union Espanola (Women) wins.
League table
Chile Championship. Women| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 58:2 | 40 | |
| 2 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 39:10 | 35 | |
| 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 29:8 | 33 | |
| 4 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20:5 | 28 | |
| 5 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 17:12 | 24 | |
| 6 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21:17 | 19 | |
| 7 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 14:24 | 18 | |
| 8 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 16:22 | 14 | |
| 9 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 11:22 | 12 | |
| 10 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 10:26 | 12 | |
| 11 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 9:27 | 11 | |
| 12 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 11:42 | 7 | |
| 13 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 13:51 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.