Ungmennafelag Njardvikur vs Grindavik: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Ungmennafelag Njardvikurvs
GrindavikThe model puts Ungmennafelag Njardvikur at 57%. The model leans toward Ungmennafelag Njardvikur. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Ungmennafelag Njardvikur.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Ungmennafelag Njardvikur have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Grindavik have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Ungmennafelag Njardvikur have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Ungmennafelag Njardvikur is priced at 1.63.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Ungmennafelag Njardvikur at 57%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Grindavik at 20%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Ungmennafelag Njardvikur. Ungmennafelag Njardvikur is priced at 1.63. The draw is priced at 3.92. Grindavik is priced at 4.315.
Ungmennafelag Njardvikur have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Grindavik have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Ungmennafelag Njardvikur have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Grindavik have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 46% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Ungmennafelag Njardvikur or Grindavik?
Our model rates Ungmennafelag Njardvikur as the most likely outcome at 57% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Ungmennafelag Njardvikur vs Grindavik?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Ungmennafelag Njardvikur wins, 3 draws, 2 Grindavik wins.
League table
Iceland. 1. Deild| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ungmennafelagid Afturelding | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 34:18 | 25 |
| 2 |  Fylkir | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 23:17 | 24 |
| 3 |  Knattspyrnufelagið Þrottur | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 25:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Vestri | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:20 | 21 |
| 5 |  Leiknir Reykjavík | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 6 |  HK Kopavogur | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 21:20 | 19 |
| 7 | Ungmennafelag Njardvikur | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 8 |  Grotta | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 21:25 | 16 |
| 9 |  Iþrottafelag Reykjavikur | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 23:30 | 11 |
| 10 | Grindavik | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:12 | 10 |
| 11 |  Iþrottafelagið Volsungur | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 16:27 | 8 |
| 12 |  KF Aegir Thorlakshofn | 13 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 15:32 | 8 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.