Piast Gliwice vs Miedz Legnica: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Piast Gliwicevs
Miedz LegnicaThe model puts Piast Gliwice at 60%. The model leans toward Piast Gliwice. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Miedz Legnica.
- −The head-to-head record favours Miedz Legnica (0-1-5).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Piast Gliwice have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Miedz Legnica have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Piast Gliwice is priced at 1.49.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Piast Gliwice at 60%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Miedz Legnica at 20%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Piast Gliwice. Piast Gliwice is priced at 1.49. The draw is priced at 4.25. Miedz Legnica is priced at 6.21.
Miedz Legnica have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Piast Gliwice have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Miedz Legnica have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 45% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Piast Gliwice or Miedz Legnica?
Our model rates Piast Gliwice as the most likely outcome at 60% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Piast Gliwice vs Miedz Legnica?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 0 Piast Gliwice wins, 1 draws, 5 Miedz Legnica wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.