Guayaquil City vs Delfin: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Guayaquil Cityvs
DelfinThe model puts Guayaquil City at 37%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Guayaquil City have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Delfin have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Guayaquil City have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Guayaquil City is priced at 2.51.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Guayaquil City at 37%. The model puts the draw at 33%. The model puts Delfin at 29%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Guayaquil City is priced at 2.51. The draw is priced at 2.842. Delfin is priced at 3.13.
Guayaquil City have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Delfin have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Guayaquil City have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Delfin have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Guayaquil City or Delfin?
Our model rates Guayaquil City as the most likely outcome at 37% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Guayaquil City vs Delfin?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Guayaquil City wins, 1 draws, 3 Delfin wins.
Odds movement
League table
Ecuador. Serie A| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independiente del Valle | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 36:18 | 40 |
| 2 |  Barcelona Sporting Club | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 20:13 | 29 |
| 3 |  SD Aucas | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 20:16 | 29 |
| 4 |  Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 19:14 | 27 |
| 5 |  Deportivo Cuenca | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 18:19 | 27 |
| 6 |  Universidad Catolica Quito | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 7 |  Club Social y Deportivo Macara | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 18:18 | 26 |
| 8 |  Tecnico Universitario | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 19:19 | 23 |
| 9 |  Leones Del Norte | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 19:19 | 23 |
| 10 |  Orense Sporting Club | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22:24 | 23 |
| 11 |  Emelec | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 14:17 | 23 |
| 12 |  Mushuc Runa | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 22:23 | 21 |
| 13 | Guayaquil City | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 14:20 | 19 |
| 14 | Delfin | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 9:16 | 17 |
| 15 |  Libertad Loja | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:25 | 17 |
| 16 |  Manta | 18 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 7:23 | 13 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.