Gornik Polkowice vs Warta Gorzow: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Gornik Polkowicevs
Warta GorzowThe model puts Gornik Polkowice at 41%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Gornik Polkowice.
- −The head-to-head record favours Warta Gorzow (0-4-2).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Gornik Polkowice have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Warta Gorzow have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Gornik Polkowice is priced at 2.11.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Gornik Polkowice at 41%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Warta Gorzow at 34%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Gornik Polkowice. Gornik Polkowice is priced at 2.11. The draw is priced at 3.38. Warta Gorzow is priced at 3.02.
Warta Gorzow have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Gornik Polkowice have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Warta Gorzow have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Gornik Polkowice or Warta Gorzow?
Our model rates Gornik Polkowice as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Gornik Polkowice vs Warta Gorzow?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 0 Gornik Polkowice wins, 4 draws, 2 Warta Gorzow wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.