Scotland. League Cup

Inverness vs East Fife: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

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Invernessvs

East Fife

Our predictionInverness to win

Model score: High · 77/100

Score hint: 2-0

The model puts Inverness at 69%. The model leans toward Inverness. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

−Recent form favours East Fife.
−The head-to-head record favours East Fife (0-1-5).

Win probabilities

1 · Inverness69%Draw16%2 · East Fife15%

1 · InvernessDraw2 · East Fife

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2East Fife9.65+6.0%

1X2Draw5.30-1.3%

1X2Inverness1.24-4.7%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Recent form

InvernessDDLLL

East FifeWWWWL

Team strength rating

Inverness

East Fife

Most likely scorelines

2-015.2%

1-014.5%

3-010.6%

2-18.8%

1-18.4%

0-06.9%

Expected goals

2.09Inverness

0.58East Fife

Over 2.5 goals50%

Both teams to score38%

Match DNA

Inverness East Fife

Key points

Inverness have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
East Fife have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
East Fife are on 4 wins in a row.
The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Inverness win1.24Avoid (-4.7%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2
0	7	4	1
1	14	8	2
2	15	9	3
3	11	6	2
4	6	3
5	2	1

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

Inverness have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. East Fife have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. East Fife are on 4 wins in a row.

East Fife have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.

The model puts Inverness at 69%. The model puts the draw at 16%. The model puts East Fife at 15%.

The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.