Raith Rovers vs Elgin City: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Raith Roversvs
Elgin CityThe model puts Raith Rovers at 83%. The model leans toward Raith Rovers. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Raith Rovers.
- −The head-to-head record favours Elgin City (0-0-4).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Raith Rovers have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Elgin City have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Raith Rovers is priced at 1.077.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 2 | ||||
| 1 | 16 | 5 | ||||
| 2 | 19 | 6 | ||||
| 3 | 16 | 5 | ||||
| 4 | 9 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Raith Rovers at 83%. The model puts the draw at 10%. The model puts Elgin City at 7%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Raith Rovers. Raith Rovers is priced at 1.077. The draw is priced at 8. Elgin City is priced at 17.5.
Elgin City have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
Raith Rovers have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Raith Rovers are on 2 wins in a row. Elgin City have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 23% for both teams to score. The model gives 51% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Raith Rovers or Elgin City?
Our model rates Raith Rovers as the most likely outcome at 83% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Raith Rovers vs Elgin City?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 4 meetings: 0 Raith Rovers wins, 0 draws, 4 Elgin City wins.
Odds movement
League table
Scotland. League Cup| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Queen of the South | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Queen's Park | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Brora Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Aberdeen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Kelty Hearts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.