Dunbar Rovers vs Central Coast United: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Dunbar Rovers at 45%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Dunbar Rovers have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Central Coast United have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Dunbar Rovers is priced at 2.04.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Dunbar Rovers at 45%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Central Coast United at 31%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market leans toward Dunbar Rovers. Dunbar Rovers is priced at 2.04. The draw is priced at 3.68. Central Coast United is priced at 2.946.
Dunbar Rovers have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Central Coast United have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 64% for both teams to score. The model gives 66% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Dunbar Rovers or Central Coast United?
Our model rates Dunbar Rovers as the most likely outcome at 45% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Dunbar Rovers vs Central Coast United?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.