East Kilbride vs Dunfermline Athletic: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
East Kilbridevs
Dunfermline AthleticThe model puts Dunfermline Athletic at 57%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- East Kilbride have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Dunfermline Athletic have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Dunfermline Athletic are on 2 wins in a row.
- The model leans toward Dunfermline Athletic.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 3 | |
| 1 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
East Kilbride have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Dunfermline Athletic have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Dunfermline Athletic are on 2 wins in a row.
East Kilbride have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Dunfermline Athletic have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
The model gives 47% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, East Kilbride or Dunfermline Athletic?
Our model rates Dunfermline Athletic as the most likely outcome at 57% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for East Kilbride vs Dunfermline Athletic?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 1 East Kilbride wins, 0 draws, 1 Dunfermline Athletic wins.
Odds movement
League table
Scotland. League Cup| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Queen of the South | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Queen's Park | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Brora Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Aberdeen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Kelty Hearts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.