Scotland. League Cup

Partick Thistle vs Brechin City: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

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Partick Thistlevs

Brechin City

Our predictionPartick Thistle to win

Model score: High · 92/100

Score hint: 2-0

The model puts Partick Thistle at 87%. The model leans toward Partick Thistle. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

−The head-to-head record favours Brechin City (1-0-2).

Win probabilities

1 · Partick Thistle87%Draw7%2 · Brechin City6%

1 · Partick ThistleDraw2 · Brechin City

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.55+21.7%

1X2Brechin City19.00+1.0%

1X2Draw12.60-0.1%

1X2Partick Thistle1.02-0.9%

BTTSYes2.28-21.7%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Team strength rating

Partick Thistle

Brechin City

Recent form

Partick ThistleDLLLL

Brechin CityDLDLD

Most likely scorelines

2-020.5%

3-016.9%

1-016.5%

4-010.5%

0-06.7%

5-05.2%

Expected goals

2.48Partick Thistle

0.23Brechin City

Over 2.5 goals51%

Both teams to score19%

Match DNA

Partick Thistle Brechin City

Key points

Partick Thistle have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
Brechin City have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
Partick Thistle have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Partick Thistle is priced at 1.021.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Partick Thistle win1.02Fair (-0.9%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1
0	7	2
1	17	4
2	20	5
3	17	4
4	10	2
5	5	1

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Partick Thistle at 87%. The model puts the draw at 7%. The model puts Brechin City at 6%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.

The market leans toward Partick Thistle. Partick Thistle is priced at 1.021. The draw is priced at 12.6. Brechin City is priced at 19.

Partick Thistle have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Brechin City have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.

Partick Thistle have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Brechin City have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 19% for both teams to score. The model gives 51% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.