Peterhead vs Hamilton Academical: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Peterheadvs
Hamilton AcademicalThe model puts Hamilton Academical at 41%. Hamilton Academical have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Peterhead have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hamilton Academical have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
- Hamilton Academical is priced at 2.15.
- The model puts Peterhead at 32%.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
Hamilton Academical have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Peterhead have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Hamilton Academical have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Peterhead have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
The model puts Hamilton Academical at 41%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Peterhead at 32%.
The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1. The model gives 53% for both teams to score.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Peterhead or Hamilton Academical?
Our model rates Hamilton Academical as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Peterhead vs Hamilton Academical?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Peterhead wins, 1 draws, 2 Hamilton Academical wins.
Odds movement
League table
Scotland. League Cup| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Queen of the South | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Queen's Park | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Brora Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Aberdeen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Kelty Hearts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.