Queen of the South vs Kelty Hearts: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Queen of the Southvs
Kelty HeartsThe model leans toward Queen of the South. The model puts Queen of the South at 55%. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Kelty Hearts.
- −The head-to-head record favours Kelty Hearts (1-2-3).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Kelty Hearts are on 2 wins in a row.
- Kelty Hearts have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
- The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
Queen of the South have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Kelty Hearts have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
Kelty Hearts have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Queen of the South have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Kelty Hearts are on 2 wins in a row.
The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0. The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Queen of the South or Kelty Hearts?
Our model rates Queen of the South as the most likely outcome at 55% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Queen of the South vs Kelty Hearts?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Queen of the South wins, 2 draws, 3 Kelty Hearts wins.
Odds movement
League table
Scotland. League Cup| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Queen of the South | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Queen's Park | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Brora Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Aberdeen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Kelty Hearts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.