Edinburgh FC vs Falkirk: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Edinburgh FCvs
FalkirkThe model puts Falkirk at 78%. Falkirk have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Edinburgh FC.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Edinburgh FC are on 2 wins in a row.
- Edinburgh FC have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.
- Falkirk is priced at 1.094.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 6 | 3 |
| 1 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
Falkirk have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Edinburgh FC have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
Edinburgh FC are on 2 wins in a row. Edinburgh FC have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Falkirk have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.
The model puts Falkirk at 78%. The model puts Edinburgh FC at 11%. The model puts the draw at 12%.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Edinburgh FC or Falkirk?
Our model rates Falkirk as the most likely outcome at 78% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Edinburgh FC vs Falkirk?
A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Edinburgh FC wins, 1 draws, 2 Falkirk wins.
Odds movement
League table
Scotland. League Cup| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Queen of the South | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Queen's Park | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Brora Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Aberdeen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Kelty Hearts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.