Huracan Del Paso De La Arena vs Colon Montevideo: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Huracan Del Paso De La Arenavs
Colon MontevideoThe model puts Colon Montevideo at 42%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Colon Montevideo.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Huracan Del Paso De La Arena have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Colon Montevideo have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Colon Montevideo is priced at 2.29.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Huracan Del Paso De La Arena at 29%. The model puts the draw at 29%. The model puts Colon Montevideo at 42%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Huracan Del Paso De La Arena is priced at 3.045. The draw is priced at 2.97. Colon Montevideo is priced at 2.29.
Huracan Del Paso De La Arena have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Colon Montevideo have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 44% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Huracan Del Paso De La Arena or Colon Montevideo?
Our model rates Colon Montevideo as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Huracan Del Paso De La Arena vs Colon Montevideo?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward a balanced game.
League table
Uruguay. Segunda Division| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club Atletico Atenas | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | 19 |
| 2 |  River Plate Montevideo | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:16 | 17 |
| 3 |  Cerrito | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 15 |
| 4 |  Tacuarembo | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 14 |
| 5 |  Centro Atletico Fenix | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:11 | 13 |
| 6 |  Miramar Misiones | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:11 | 13 |
| 7 |  Club Plaza Colonia de Deportes | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 10:11 | 13 |
| 8 | Colon Montevideo | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | 12 |
| 9 | Huracan Del Paso De La Arena | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Club Oriental | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14:12 | 11 |
| 11 |  Rentistas | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8:12 | 11 |
| 12 |  La Luz | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6:8 | 10 |
| 13 |  FC Paysandu | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 11:15 | 7 |
| 14 |  Uruguay Montevideo | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 9:14 | 7 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.