1. Slovacko vs Zorya Luhansk: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
1. Slovackovs
Zorya LuhanskThe model puts 1. Slovacko at 42%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- 1. Slovacko have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Zorya Luhansk have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- 1. Slovacko have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- 1. Slovacko is priced at 2.2.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts 1. Slovacko at 42%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Zorya Luhansk at 31%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. 1. Slovacko is priced at 2.2. The draw is priced at 3.36. Zorya Luhansk is priced at 2.859.
1. Slovacko have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
1. Slovacko have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Zorya Luhansk have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, 1. Slovacko or Zorya Luhansk?
Our model rates 1. Slovacko as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for 1. Slovacko vs Zorya Luhansk?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 1. Slovacko wins, 0 draws, 0 Zorya Luhansk wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.