Gomel II vs Bumprom: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Gomel IIvs
BumpromThe model puts Bumprom at 55%. The model leans toward Bumprom. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Gomel II have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Bumprom have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Gomel II have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Bumprom is priced at 1.64.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| 1 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | |
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | ||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Gomel II at 23%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Bumprom at 55%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-2.
The market leans toward Bumprom. Gomel II is priced at 4.11. The draw is priced at 4.05. Bumprom is priced at 1.64.
Gomel II have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Gomel II have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Bumprom have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 60% for both teams to score. The model gives 63% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Gomel II or Bumprom?
Our model rates Bumprom as the most likely outcome at 55% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Gomel II vs Bumprom?
A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 1 Gomel II wins, 1 draws, 0 Bumprom wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
Belarus. 1st League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slutsk | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 32:16 | 35 |
| 2 |  SKA-1938 | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 37:16 | 34 |
| 3 |  Lida | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27:23 | 27 |
| 4 |  Slonim | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 28:17 | 27 |
| 5 |  Niva Dolbizno | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 35:18 | 27 |
| 6 |  Dinamo Minsk II | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 29:20 | 24 |
| 7 |  Volna Pinsk | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 23:21 | 23 |
| 8 | Bumprom | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 29:20 | 23 |
| 9 |  Soligorsk | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 29:18 | 22 |
| 10 |  Maladzechna | 15 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 21:31 | 19 |
| 11 | Gomel II | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 22:20 | 16 |
| 12 |  Minsk II | 15 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 18:31 | 16 |
| 13 |  Orsha | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 15:25 | 15 |
| 14 |  Ostrovets | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 18:21 | 15 |
| 15 |  Uni X Labs | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 13:24 | 15 |
| 16 |  Smorgon | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 18:24 | 14 |
| 17 |  BATE Borisov II | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 20:37 | 11 |
| 18 |  Osipovichi | 15 | 1 | 13 | 1 | 15:47 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.