Club Atletico Brown vs Club Atletico Ituzaingo: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Club Atletico Brownvs
Club Atletico ItuzaingoThe model puts Club Atletico Brown at 51%. The model leans toward Club Atletico Brown. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Club Atletico Ituzaingo (0-1-2).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Club Atletico Brown have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Club Atletico Ituzaingo have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Club Atletico Brown is priced at 1.78.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Club Atletico Brown at 51%. The model puts the draw at 29%. The model puts Club Atletico Ituzaingo at 21%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Club Atletico Brown. Club Atletico Brown is priced at 1.78. The draw is priced at 3.1. Club Atletico Ituzaingo is priced at 4.645.
Club Atletico Ituzaingo have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Club Atletico Brown have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Club Atletico Ituzaingo have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Club Atletico Brown or Club Atletico Ituzaingo?
Our model rates Club Atletico Brown as the most likely outcome at 51% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Club Atletico Brown vs Club Atletico Ituzaingo?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 0 Club Atletico Brown wins, 1 draws, 2 Club Atletico Ituzaingo wins.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Club Atletico Brown
- 1Wysocki
- 2Aguirre
- 3Ortiz
- 4Cesare
- 5Robles
- 6Sanchez L.
- 7Baldunciel
- 8Silva
- 9Баес
- 10Noble M.
- 11Lopez Br.
Club Atletico Ituzaingo
- 1Lautaro Barraza
- 2Mantovani
- 3Barea Тобиас
- 4Fanti
- 5Campusano
- 6Salvadores
- 7Regules
- 8Sotelo
- 9Mariani
- 10Mena
- 11Gras
League table
Argentina. Primera B Metropolitana| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Excursionistas | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 34:15 | 45 |
| 2 |  Club Atletico Talleres Remedios de Escalada | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 26:10 | 45 |
| 3 |  Arsenal de Sarandi | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 33:17 | 44 |
| 4 |  Villa Dalmine | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 28:13 | 43 |
| 5 |  Atletico Camioneros | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 27:15 | 41 |
| 6 |  Sportivo Italiano | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 23:20 | 35 |
| 7 |  Real Pilar | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 25:24 | 34 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Armenio | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 25:27 | 32 |
| 9 |  San Martin de Burzaco | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 23:20 | 31 |
| 10 |  Club Comunicaciones | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 26:25 | 31 |
| 11 |  Argentino de Merlo | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 21:21 | 31 |
| 12 |  Deportivo Laferrere | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 25:29 | 31 |
| 13 |  Deportivo Merlo | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 27:35 | 31 |
| 14 |  Dock Sud | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 24:22 | 27 |
| 15 |  Argentino de Quilmes | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 24:25 | 27 |
| 16 |  Deportivo Liniers | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 16:23 | 26 |
| 17 |  Defensores Unidos | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 19:24 | 24 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Brown | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 16:27 | 23 |
| 19 |  UAI Urquiza | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 12:20 | 22 |
| 20 |  CSyD Flandria | 23 | 6 | 13 | 4 | 18:30 | 22 |
| 21 |  Villa San Carlos | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 24:30 | 21 |
| 22 | Club Atletico Ituzaingo | 23 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 17:41 | 9 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.