Associacao Atletica Internacional vs Amazonas: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Associacao Atletica Internacionalvs
AmazonasThe model puts Associacao Atletica Internacional at 57%. The model leans toward Associacao Atletica Internacional. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Associacao Atletica Internacional.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Associacao Atletica Internacional have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Amazonas have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Associacao Atletica Internacional is priced at 1.66.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 17 | 11 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Associacao Atletica Internacional at 57%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Amazonas at 17%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Associacao Atletica Internacional. Associacao Atletica Internacional is priced at 1.66. The draw is priced at 3.38. Amazonas is priced at 4.94.
Associacao Atletica Internacional have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Amazonas have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 37% for both teams to score. The model gives 39% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Associacao Atletica Internacional or Amazonas?
Our model rates Associacao Atletica Internacional as the most likely outcome at 57% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Associacao Atletica Internacional vs Amazonas?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
League table
Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro Série C - First stage| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brusque | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20:14 | 24 |
| 2 |  Guarani | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 23:11 | 23 |
| 3 | Associacao Atletica Internacional | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16:14 | 22 |
| 4 |  Santa Cruz PE | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 13:9 | 21 |
| 5 |  S.E.R. Caxias do Sul | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13:10 | 21 |
| 6 |  Paysandu | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 19:17 | 20 |
| 7 |  Floresta EC | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15:14 | 20 |
| 8 |  Botafogo da Paraíba | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 9 |  Maringa Futebol Clube | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 26:24 | 19 |
| 10 |  Ituano | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:13 | 19 |
| 11 |  Ferroviaria | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 12:11 | 19 |
| 12 |  Ypiranga | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 16:17 | 18 |
| 13 | Amazonas | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 13:18 | 17 |
| 14 |  Volta Redonda | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 10:15 | 17 |
| 15 |  Figueirense | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 16 |  Barra | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16:14 | 15 |
| 17 |  Maranhao Atletico Clube | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9:13 | 14 |
| 18 |  Associacao Olímpica de Itabaiana | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 11:17 | 13 |
| 19 |  Confianca | 13 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 8:12 | 11 |
| 20 |  Anápolis | 13 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 9:17 | 9 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.